Tuesday, November 6, 2007

50 State Presidential Race Analysis -- Arizona

Good Tuesday Evening, Folks:

Today we are going to talk about Arizona.

Arizona has 10 electoral votes in 2008.
Her presidential preference primary is being held on Tuesday, February 5, 2008 as part of Super Tuesday.
Arizona 2004: Bush 55 Kerry 45.

Arizona is not really a competitive state, though it is generally only an 8-12 point win by the Republican candidate. Senior Republican Senator John McCain is a candidate for President in 2008 and ranked 3rd or 4th depending on which poll you look at. He doesn't have a great shot at the nomination as he will be 74 on January 20, 2009 making him 78 at the end of a first term and 82 at the end of a second term. He also has some health issues. He is great on experience, probably one of the most, if not the most, experienced and decorated candidates in the race.

Expect Arizona to give the Republican nominee between 53 and 56% of the vote.

Tomorrow, we will look at a much smaller, yet much more dynamic, state -- Arkansas:

NEXT 7 STATES:

Thursday, November 8, 2007: California
Friday, November 9, 2007: Colorado
Saturday, November 10, 2007: Connecticut
Sunday, November 11, 2007: Delaware
Monday, November 12, 2007: Florida
Tuesday, November 13, 2007: Georgia
Wednesday, November 14, 2007: Hawaii