Sunday, March 11, 2007

Sunday, March 11, 2007 -- Senate

I am Sara, a newcomer to this blog. I have my own sites, here and here. My posts here will be on the races for the United States Senate and the United States House of Representatives. I can't guarantee that I will post here every day but I will try to keep you as up-to-date on these races as I can, and as objectively as I can, first listing the Senators. I will provide more detailed outlooks on these races, as well as the competitive House races, later.


There are 33 Senators up for reelection in 2008, 21 Republicans and 12 Democrats.


Alabama - Jeff Sessions, who is in his 2nd term, is expected to be safe.

Alaska - Ted Stevens, who is in his 4th term, is expected to be safe. He may retire, though, given his advanced age. No matter what happens, this seat will remain Republican.

Arkansas - Mark Pryor, who is in his 1st term, is expected to be safe.

Colorado - Wayne Allard, who is in his 2nd term, will retire, leaving the highly competitive seat to be contested by Mark Udall and a Republican candidate to be determined.

Delaware - Joe Biden, who is in his 7th term, is running for President. The seat will remain Democratic whether or not he runs for reelection.

Georgia - Saxby Chambliss, who is in his 1st term, is expected to be safe.

Idaho - Larry Craig, who is in his 2nd term, is expected to be safe.

Illinois - Dick Durbin, who is in his 2nd term, is expected to be safe.

Iowa - Tom Harkin, who is in his 4th term, is expected to be safe.

Kansas - Pat Roberts, who is in his 2nd term, is expected to be safe.

Kentucky - Mitch McConnell, who is in his 4th term, is expected to be safe.

Louisiana - Mary Landrieu, who is in her 2nd term, is vulnerable because of the close calls in her past races and the displacement of many voters from New Orleans.

Maine - Susan Collins, who is in her 2nd term, is expected to be safe, though she may face a strong challenge against Tom Allen.

Massachusetts - John Kerry, who is in his 4th term, is expected to be safe.

Michigan - Carl Levin, who is in his 5th term, is expected to be safe.

Minnesota - Norm Coleman, who is in his 1st term, could be vulnerable. Many Democratic challengers including Mike Ciresi, Al Franken, and R.T. Rybak intend to run.

Mississippi - Thad Cochran, who is in his 5th term, is expected to be safe.

Montana - Max Baucus, who is in his 5th term, is expected to be safe though he may face a competitive race if former governor Mark Racicot or Rep. Dennis Rehberg run.

Nebraska - Chuck Hagel, who is in his 2nd term, is running for President. Regardless of whether or not he vacates his Senate seat, it will remain Republican.

New Hampshire - John Sununu, who is in his 2nd term, is vulnerable because of the Democratic trending of the state.

New Jersey - Frank Lautenberg, who is in his 4th term, could be vulnerable but Republicans have a long history of losing Senate races in New Jersey, and Lautenberg will likely face a strong primary challenge with at least one of the state's Democratic Reps.

New Mexico - Pete Domenici, who is in his 6th term, is expected to be safe. However, should he retire, the seat becomes competitive.

North Carolina - Elizabeth Dole, who is in her 1st term, may be safe though she could face a strong Democratic challenger.

Oklahoma - Jim Inhofe, who is in his 2nd term, is vulnerable with decreasing popularity.

Oregon - Gordon Smith, who is in his 2nd term, is considered vulnerable due to the Democratic lean of the state.

Rhode Island - Jack Reed, who is in his 2nd term, is expected to be safe.

South Carolina - Lindsey Graham, who is in his 1st term, is expected to be safe.

South Dakota - Tim Johnson, who is in his 2nd term, may face a strong Republican challenger, though he may get many "sympathy votes".

Tennessee - Lamar Alexander, who is in his 1st term, is expected to be safe.

Texas - John Cornyn, who is in his 1st term, could face a competitive race but will likely win due to the state's leanings.

Virginia - John Warner, who is in his 4th term, is expected to be safe, though if he vacates the seat, it could be competitive if former Gov. Mark Warner or current Gov. Tim Kaine decide to run.

West Virginia - Jay Rockefeller, who is in his 4th term, is expected to be safe.

Wyoming - Mike Enzi, who is in his 2nd term, is expected to be safe.

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