Monday, March 19, 2007

Monday, March 19, 2007 -- Senate

Here is the latest on the 2008 Senate races. I will have the potentially competitive House races up later tonight.



Alabama

Jeff Sessions is expected to easily win reelection.

Democratic challengers: St. Sen. Vivian Figures, Ag. Comm'r. Ron Sparks, '02 candidate Johnny Swanson


Alaska

Ted Stevens is expected to easily win reelection. Even if he retires, his seat will remain Republican.

Democratic challengers: Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich, Ex-Gov. Tony Knowles, State Rep. Ethan Berkowitz, State Rep. Eric Croft, Former LG Fran Ulmer, Party chair Jake Metcalfe, State Sen. Hollis French, Johnny Ellis

Republican challengers: State Sen. Ben Stevens, Ex-Anchorage Mayor Rick Mystrom, Ex-State Sen. Mike Miller, State Rep. Ralph Samuels, State Rep. Jay Ramras


Arkansas

Mark Pryor is expected to easily win reelection.

Democratic challengers: Lt. Gov. Bill Halter

Republican challengers: '06 LG candidate Chuck Banks, Banking CEO J. French Hill


Colorado

Wayne Allard, considered one of the most vulnerable Senators, is retiring.

Democratic challengers: Rep. Mark Udall

Republican challengers: Ex-U.S. Rep. Bob Beauprez, talk show host Dan Caplis, Sec. of St. Mike Coffman, Ex-U.S. Rep. Scott McInnis, U.S. Sec. of VA Jim Nicholson, Ex-Sec. of Int. Gale Norton, Ret. Gen. Bentley Rayburn, Ex-U.S. Rep. Bob Schaffer, AG John Suthers, U.S. Rep. Tom Tancredo


Delaware

Joe Biden is simultaneously running for President and for reelection. If his presidential ambition is unsuccessful and he runs for reelection, he is expected to easily win reelection. If he were to retire, the race would lean Democratic.

Republican challengers: Rep. Michael Castle


Georgia

Saxby Chambliss is expected to easily win reelection as Georgia has been trending strongly Republican in recent years.

Democratic challengers: Developer Charles Brewer, Attorney Jim Butler, DeKalb County CEO Vernon Jones, U.S. Rep. Jim Marshall, Former Sec. of St. Cathy Cox


Idaho

Larry Craig is expected to easily win reelection.

Democratic challengers: Attorney/06 ID-01 candidate Larry Grant, former U.S. Rep. Larry LaRocco

Republican challengers: Canyon Co. Comm'r. /06 ID-01 contender Robert Vasquez

Other challengers: '06 Gov. candidate Marvin Richardson (Constitution)


Illinois

Dick Durbin is expected to easily win reelection.

Republican challengers: Attorney Joe Birkett, State Sen. Bill Brady, businessman Steve Greenberg, businessman Jim Oberweis, Chicago Board of Trade CAO Kevin O'Hara, attorney Kathy Salvi, State SC Justice Robert Thomas


Iowa

Tom Harkin is expected to easily win reelection.

Republican challengers: U.S. Rep Tom Latham, businessman Steven Rathje, U.S. Rep. Steve King


Kansas

Pat Roberts is expected to easily win reelection.

Democratic challengers: Steve Boyda


Kentucky

Mitch McConnell is expected to easily win reelection.

Democratic challengers: Businesswoman Phyllis George, businessman Charlie Owen


Louisiana

Mary Landrieu is highly vulnerable because of her narrow wins in her past Senate races, the state's Republican trending, and the displacement of many voters from New Orleans.

Democratic challengers: State Sen. Cleo Fields, State Treasurer John Kennedy

Republican challengers: U.S. Rep. Richard Baker, Sec. of St. Jay Dardenne, ex-State Rep. Woody Jenkins, U.S. Rep. Bobby Jindal, '02 nominee Suzanne Terrell


Maine

Susan Collins is highly popular with 70%+ approval ratings, but could be vulnerable because of the state's Democratic lean and if she faces a strong challenger.

Democratic challengers: State Sen. Michael Brennan, U.S. Rep. Tom Allen, State AG Steven Rowe, '02 nominee Chellie Pingree, attorney Adam Cote


Massachusetts

John Kerry is expected to easily win reelection.

Republican challengers: Harvard Pilgrim CEO Charles Baker, businessman Jeff Beatty, State Sen. Scott Brown, ex-U.S. Attorney Wayne Budd, ex-WH chief of staff Andy Card, ex-Gov. Paul Celluci, author/activist Jerome Corsi, businessman Chris Egan, Ex-LG Kerry Healey, attorney Gloria Larson, ex-Suffolk Co. D.A. Ralph Martin, pitcher Curt Shilling, U.S. Attorney Michael Sullivan, State Sen. Bruce Tarr


Michigan

Carl Levin is expected to easily win reelection.

Republican challengers: AG Mike Cox, U.S. Rep. Candice S. Miller, U.S. Rep. Mike Rogers, ex-First Lady Michelle Engler


Minnesota

Norm Coleman is one of the most vulnerable Senators due to significant gains made by the DFL in the last two election cycles.

DFL challengers: Nobel Laureate Peter Agre, State Rep. Joe Atkins, attorney Mike Ciresi, State Sen. Tarryl Clark, ex.-St. Auditor Judi Dutcher, TV personality Al Franken, perennial candidate Dick Franson, ex-AG Mike Hatch, ex.-State Sen. Dean Johnson, State Rep. John Lesch, State Sen. Becky Lourey, U.S. Rep. Betty McCollum, State Sen. Mee Moua, professor Jack Nelson-Pallmeyer, State Rep. Aaron Peterson, Minneapolis Councilman Ralph Remington, Minneapolis Mayor R.T. Rybak, '04/'06 MN-06 nominee Patty Wetterling


Mississippi

Thad Cochran is expected to easily win reelection.

Democratic challengers: ex-State AG Mike Moore, U.S. Rep. Gene Taylor


Montana

Max Baucus is expected to easily win reelection.

Republican challengers: Sec. of St. Brad Johnson, ex-State Sen. Bob Keenan, State Rep. Michael Lange, ex-Gov. Mark Racicot, U.S. Rep. Dennis Rehberg, State Sen. Corey Stapleton


Nebraska

Chuck Hagel is considering running for President. Regardless of whether or not he vacates his seat, it will remain Republican.

Democratic challengers: Omaha Mayor Mike Fahey, rancher/'06 NE-03 nominee Scott Kleeb

Republican challengers: Ex-House Speaker Kermit Brashear, State AG Jon Bruning, Ex-Omaha Mayor Hal Daub, Jr., U.S. Rep. Jeff Fortenberry, Gov. Dave Heineman, Ag. Sec. Mike Johanns, ex-Ameritrade COO Pete Ricketts, ex-AG Donald Stenberg, U.S. Rep. Lee Terry


New Hampshire

John Sununu is one of the most vulnerable Senators due to the bloodbath the Republicans received in 2006, losing both U.S. House seats and control of both houses of the state legislature, and with the ultra-popular Democratic governor winning reelection by a 3:1 margin.

Democratic challengers: professor Jay Buckey, State Sen. Peter Burling, State Sen. Joe Foster, State Sen. Pres. Sylvia Larsen, Portsmouth Mayor Steve Marchand, ex-Gov. Jeanne Shaheen, '02 NH-02 nominee Katrina Swett


New Jersey

Frank Lautenberg is one of the least popular Senators, but Republicans have not win a U.S. Senate election in the state since 1972. Lautenberg has also drawn some primary challengers.

Democratic challengers: U.S. Rep. Rob Andrews, U.S. Rep. Rush Holt, U.S. Rep. Frank Pallone

Republican challengers: State AM Bill Baroni, State AM Mike Doherty, Developer Anne Estabrook, '06 Senate candidate Tom Kean, Jr., pitcher Al Leiter, U.S. Rep. Frank LoBiondo, Morris Co. Freeholder John Murphy, ex-Ambass. Cliff Sobel

Other challengers: '06 Senate candidate Anthony Fisher (Independent)


New Mexico

Pete Domenici is expected to easily win reelection.

Democratic challengers: ex-AG Patricia Madrid, U.S. Rep. Tom Udall, LG Diane Denish

Republican challengers: U.S. Rep. Heather Wilson


North Carolina

Elizabeth Dole is expected to win reelection but could face a strong Democratic challenger.

Democratic challengers: State AG Roy Cooper, Gov. Mike Easley, State Sen. Kay Hagan


Oklahoma

Jim Inhofe is vulnerable because of decreasing popularity at home.

Democratic challengers: ex-U.S. Rep. Brad Carson

Republican challengers: Gen. Tommy Franks, ex-Gov. Frank Keating, ex-U.S. Rep. Ernest Istook, businessman Steve Wallace


Oregon

Gordon Smith is vulnerable because of the state's Democratic trending.

Democratic challengers: ex-Gov. Barbara Roberts, State Sen. Kate Brown, U.S. Rep. Earl Blumenauer, State Ed. Super. Susan Castillo, State Treas. Randall Edwards, attorney/activist Steve Novick, Clatsop Co. DA Josh Maquis, State Rep. Jeff Merkley, business exec. Ty Pettit, State Sen. Vicki Walker, State Sen. Ben Westlund

Other challengers: ex-NEA Chair John Frohnmayer (Independent)


Rhode Island

Jack Reed is expected to easily win reelection.

Republican challengers: Cranston Mayor Stephen Laffey


South Carolina

Lindsey Graham is expected to easily win reelection.

Republican challengers: State Treas. Tom Ravenel


South Dakota

Tim Johnson was expected to be vulnerable but after suffering a brain hemorrhage, may receive many sympathy votes. If he decides to retire, the race becomes very competitive.

Democratic challengers: U.S. Rep. Stephanie Herseth

Republican challengers: Gov. Mike Rounds, ex-LG Steve Kirby, LG Dennis Daugaard, State Sen. Dave Knudson, PUC chair Dusty Johnson


Tennessee

Lamar Alexander is expected to easily win reelection.

Democratic challengers: State Sen. Rosalind Kurita, ex-AG Paul Summers

Other challengers: '06 Senate candidate David Gatchell (Independent), conservative activist Bo Heyward (Independent)


Texas

John Cornyn is one of the least popular senators but will likely win reelection due to the state's partisan tendencies.

Democratic challengers: Attorney Barbara Ann Radnofsky, ex-State Comp. John Sharp, Houston Mayor Bill White, ex-U.S. Rep. Jim Turner, U.S. Rep. Henry Cuellar, ex-Dallas Mayor Ron Kirk, State Sen. Kirk Watson


Virginia

John Warner is expected to easily win reelection.

Democratic challengers: Ex-LG Don Beyer, '05 AG nominee Creigh Deeds, Ret. Lt. General Claudia Kennedy, Businessman Harris Miller, State Del. Brian Moran, U.S. Rep. Jim Moran, Ex-Gov. Mark Warner

Republican challengers: Ex-Party Chair Ed Gillepsie, ex-Gov. Jim Gilmore, U.S. Rep. Tom Davis

Other challengers: Ret. USAF Major Gail Parker (Independent Green)


West Virginia

Jay Rockefeller is expected to easily win reelection.

Republican challengers: U.S. Rep. Shelley Capito, Ex-state Sen. Steve Harrison, Sec. of St. Betty Ireland, State Sen. Mike Hall, Businessman John Raese


Wyoming

Mike Enzi is expected to easily win reelection.

No comments: